Archive for December 4th, 2008

We Don’t Encourage Individuals to Form a Startup

4 comments December 4th, 2008

“We are all here to do what we are all here to do.”
The Oracle in “Matrix Reloaded”

I have come to the conclusion that most entrepreneurship is involuntary. Either someone is an entrepreneur from the time they are young, which was my personal experience, or they are thrust into situations where their old career path(s) are foreclosed to them and they have to become entrepreneurial.

I have read a number of posts in the last few months about how a downturn–or now a recession–is a great time to start a company. For the most part they are written by folks who in some way make their living off of entrepreneurs, either preying upon them as investors or service providers.

We certainly provide services to bootstrapping entrepreneurs and I suppose it would be in my personal best interest to encourage more folks to start bootstrapping a startup. I don’t think for the most part it’s a reasoned decision. Successful entrepreneurs are certainly prudent in their approach to starting a new business, and disciplined in how they manage not only technology but also selling, employees, and risks.

But individuals who are motivated by making a lot of money, in particular making a lot of money in a hurry, don’t seem to have the patience and self-discipline to prosper–certainly in a downturn/recession. So I would only end up encouraging the underqualified by appealing to their greed or their desire for autonomy.

Also the people who ask “should I be doing this” more than once or a twice a quarter (the “normal rate of doubts” amongst entrepreneurs in my experience) and look for reassurance in seminars and blog posts about why now is the best time to start a company should think very hard stepping onto the entrepreneurial roller coaster. I personally wouldn’t want be anywhere else, but then that’s just me.

I don’t like to discourage entrepreneurs either. I am always energized by the opportunity to hear bootstrappers’ perspectives on their business and their markets. If you have time, please drop by a Bootstrappers Breakfast in December or January and learn some of the realities of bootstrapping firsthand from entrepreneurs who are doing it.

If you have made the decision to team up with people you trust to form a software startup, you can definitely come to us for advice (free and paid) and we can help you not only avoid problems but pursue sound strategies for establishing your firm in a market and growing it.

Related posts

Update Dec 8: Matt Maroon wrote a good post on this same topic “A Little Better Advice” which I intended to take in a follow up to this post.

Back when I was a B-list professional poker player I got a lot of inquiries from people I didn’t know asking me if they should go pro. A lot of other pros who were asked that question said no every time. And they weren’t really wrong to do so, because if you’re asking someone you don’t even know that question, no is at least 75% likely to be the correct answer.

It’s not a very helpful one though. I realized early that people aren’t really asking you if they should go pro. They’ll make their decision regardless what you tell them, and if they got far enough along in the process to start asking, the smart money was that they were going to do it in the near future. I’d bet that the majority of them did, even though almost all of them were told not to.

So instead of just giving them a flat out no, I asked them a bunch of questions. Do you have kids to support? How much do you need to make each month to make ends meet? Do you have enough saved up to break even for three months (or six if you’re playing live) and still have a bankroll left? What’s your win rate and sample size? [...]

A lot of people probably ignored everything I told them anyway, just as they would had I said no (or yes for that matter, since they were going to anyway, though they’d blame me if it went badly for them). But I know I saved a few people from a lot of agony, and ended up encouraging a few who went on to have success with it. By not advising them one way or another, but rather giving them more information, I helped anyone who I could, and I at least didn’t hurt the rest.

Update Dec 12: I realize I addressed some of Matt Maroon’s concerns in “Entrepreneurs Need Gumption to Succeed.” We have 382 posts since October 2006, I will take some time to get a better index organized for cross-index and references.

Sobering Workshop By Corum on Software Mergers

1 comment December 4th, 2008

I attended a “Merge Briefing” workshop today offered by the Corum Group Ltd. on the status of software acquisitions. I had learned a lot from a workshop that Ward Carter, Corum’s CEO, gave at the Software Business 2007 conference and felt that this would be informative. It turned out to be much more. It was given by Nat Burgess, and it was quite sobering.

Burgess characterized merger and acquisition activity as either driven strategic considerations or by consolidation. Strategic software acquisitions are driven by major changes in the business environment caused new technologies, new or rapidly growing markets, or new regulation requiring IT infrastructure upgrades. Consolidation is driven by general financial uncertainty, IT purchasing slowdown, or regulation creating additional expense.

Burgess offered the perspective that, with the exception of a few highly strategic market sectors, we have moved from a market driven by strategic acquisitions to a consolidating market. Consolidation driven acquisitions tend to be done at lower multiples than strategic ones, and as mergers or acquisitions have historically accounted for 90 to 95% of the dollars in a software company exit this means that firms need to focus on recurring revenue models, clear ownership of all relevant intellectual property, and attacking a customer’s deteriorating cost or risk situation.

Corum offers a free weekly newsletter that tracks software merger and acquisition activity as well as quarterly briefings on-line. It was a sobering assessment but one that seems thoroughly grounded in the current realities. I was glad to be able to meet Nate Burgess and to hear the presentation. One thing that became clear as I was reading through the briefing book afterward was that acquisitions are going to be the overwhelming majority of exits for the foreseeable future, and I need to pay more attention to software M&A activity if our firm is going to be able to assist our clients in getting the best value for their technology and business.
Update: Nate Burgess blogged about the event and posted photos including this one that shows me sitting next to Craig Sirnio of the Angel’s Forum.

Craig Sirnio and Sean Murphy sitting in front row of a sobering merger and acquisition briefing by Nate Burgess


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